My August AFL
position, with a $55 strike price, was deep in the money, and there were a
couple of opportunities this morning to go ahead and unwind it, as I have been
doing in some of these cases recently.
The opportunities to do it without any out of pocket were fleeting, and
I needed to move on to something else, so I decided to consider a
roll-out.
AFL is a five-star
S&P stock, which suggests that more appreciation can be expected. I decided to postpone the moderate gains due
at $55 in August, and make a play for two dividend payments (ex-dates of August
and November), along with a roll-out and roll-up to $60 Nov 2013 calls, which would increase my stock gains - at the cost of the option premium income this position had earned.
Doing so pushed my
holding period out to 300 days, but the position is still due to make an
absolute return of over 15%, which exceeds my goals for Rescue My IRA, and an
annualized return of 19%. These returns
are increased from the previous plan for this position, where the calculated
yields were 10.46% and 18.19%, respectively.
Here’s the analysis of
the roll-up and out.
AFL
This is a 200 share
position that I established with two 100 share purchases. The share basis is $51.62, and as of this
trade, the current contract is a $60 November 2013.
Total option premiums: -$288.45 (due to the cost of buying to close
the Aug $55)
Total dividend
payments (counting ex-dates through the contract term): $245.00
Total stock gain at $60: $1,658.59
Total, absolute gain
on the position: $1,615.44
Total, absolute return
percentage ($1,615.44/$10,324.00): 15.65%
Annualized total
return percentage (held 300 days): 19.04%
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